Richard Vail

It's The Economy Stupid, My Ideas On How To Fix Things



Posted: Monday, November 23, 2009

by Richard Vail
Chisel & Plane

Unfortunately for the country, they Keynesian economic model this president is following, failed in the 1930's to end the great Depression. WW2 ended the Depression. As time slowly ekes away, this president is gaining the appearance of Jimmy Carter 2...Spending tremendous amounts to end a recession can only work if you actually spend the money wisely.

The economic stimulus package that was passed last spring, was unfortunately targeted as a pay off to Democratic constituencies. None of the money has gone to the kinds of big ticket job producing infrastructure projects that would provide long term jobs. Additionally, this new transparent way of running the country had to bribe a Senator from Louisiana with $300 million just to get her to vote to CONTINUE debating a health care bill that a majority of the populace doesn't want. "Just shut up and get out of the way" isn't how this country works.

ITS THE ECONOMY STUPID, jeez, even SNL gets that much. You don't try and make over 1/6th of the economy in a period of economic crisis. The CBO has said that both of the health care seizure plans presently under consideration will end up costing hundreds of billions of dollars. We can't afford that. There are far more cost effective ways of doing this within the current framework.

Health Care
If you have to absolutely screw around with the system, here's a way within the present framework to modify the system that will increase health insurance coverage far beyond what it is now.

1. Portability, remove employment as a means of health insurance. Allow the 1300 companies to offer insurance regardless of state lines. This will allow genuine market competition.
2. Tort Reform, lawyers have boosted the costs medical coverage by 20% or more (some say 30%). It should not be a gigantic crap shoot. Limit damages to actual loss, and only with gross negligence. Loser pays.
3. Make health costs 100% tax-free. Additionally, by allowing portability between states and permit ALL of the health insurance organizations to provide insurance regardless of state lines. The moment you do this, people go out and join co-ops and get great rates. Places like the Elks, Kiwanis, etc... were all set up originally for the purpose of allowing their members to get group health discount rates.
4. Force the Pharmaceutical companies to sell to other countries at the same rate as they charge their biggest customers here. They will then pay more, and we'll pay less. This will institute immediate savings, because America presently permits other countries to provide drugs at a vastly reduced rate, while we foot the full bill plus the difference they pay.
5. Fix SS/Medicare. Move the retirement age back to 65 as a minimum for eligibility for Medicare. Vigorously prosecute all fraudulent disability claims. Tack on a sales tax to pay for it. This will eventually end the Ponzi scheme, while honoring the obligations. We have to stop adding people to the roles.

JOBS
Fixing the economy is difficult because quite simply no one understands how it works. It's become such a complicated area of expertise, that no one can possibly master it. On the other hand there are a few simple solutions that do seem to work well.
1. Return the unspent Stimulus Funds. If Congress can't keep their greedy hands off of it, then at the very least it should be used as small business loans with fairly low interest rates. This will have the effect of freeing up funds that small business needs in order to conduct their operations. Additionally, by allowing small business those funds, they will increase their hiring. It costs small businesses an average of $330k to create full time positions. Under the stimulus, the government has spent $2.4 million each to create temporary positions that will need to be refunded every year. That's an 8-1 spending ratio, not cost effective in the long run.
2. Reduce taxes across the board, better yet, overhaul the "progressive" (or rather the REGRESSIVE) income tax system. My preference would be for a flat income tax rate for all individuals, businesses and or corporations. End end any and all federal tax breaks for business. Tax all businesses equally with no exceptions. Do the same for individuals. The ONLY exception on individual taxes would be for those who earn below X dollars (i.e. the poverty line).
3. Reign in government spending by eliminating those departments which are merely jobs programs in disguise. Education, for one, combine HHS, HUD and vastly reduce their mandate. Eliminate Labour. Use the money saved to pay off the debt, return those workers to the public sector where they could be producing wealth instead of sucking off the government tit.
4. Permit localities and states to grant incentives to those who wish to build manufacturing concerns so that we can rebuild our manufacturing base. A base that is rapidly siphoning off to Mexico, China and India.

Political Reforms
1. End ALL EARMARKS. Stop spending money outside of the constitutionally required framework.
2. Support a balanced budget amendment.
3. Seriously revamp the bureaucracy to make it easier to terminate those who are inefficient.
4, Hire managers who will run the government as if it is a business and not a jobs program.

There in simplistic terms is my prescription for fixing "things" I doubt anyone of importance is listening but I can always hope for change, right? After all look what "hope and change" got us so far...
Rich, a veteran of the USMC, grew up in NW Florida (aka LA-lower Alabama), has lived all over the eastern US...before finally in Maryland in 2004.  Rich writes and edits www.thevailspot.blogspot.com. Take a look at his blog for more articles.
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Top-level comments on this article: (5 total)
» left by Lisa Summerfield
2 years 170 days ago.
18 fans.
It seems that this is not just a recession and we've seen nothing yet. great article Richard!
» left by Richard Vail 2 years 166 days ago.
60 fans.
No, I don't believe it is...and I think that it's going to get far worse. I see unemployment topping 14% by summer, especially if the Dem's in Congress pass Cap & Trade as well as the monsterously expensive health care seizure act.
» left by Nenita Wells
2 years 170 days ago.
298 fans.
Hi Richard. "It is the Economy Stupid"! Wasn't this Bill Clinton's campaign slogan? You have great ideas and it is a well-written article. Thanks. ~Nenita~
» left by Marijo Phelps
2 years 167 days ago.
142 fans.
Insightful,you made wonderful points and I hope they let you speak to a joint congress session soon. Aside from that maybe we can send you next election while kicking those who don't understand OUT! Thanks for a piece well done in this climate of strangeness we find ourselves living in. Marijo (pronounced Mary Jo)
» left by Richard Vail 2 years 167 days ago.
60 fans.
Thanks for taking the time to read this...if you really want to, send it to your Congressmen and Senators. Often!
» left by Marijo Phelps 2 years 167 days ago.
142 fans.
Do you think they even see stuff we send or is it just a lowly staffer?
» left by Richard Vail 2 years 166 days ago.
60 fans.
Yeah, it's only a lowly staffer...who enters "comment from constituent" in a data base...the real way to get Congressional attention is to print something...put it in an envelope...and mail it "ye olde fanshioned way"...lol, but seriously, emails get the lowest weighting, phone calls come next, and snail mail, and then in person visits to local congressman's office. that's the way to get "real" attention to your issue.
» left by Joel Hendon
2 years 166 days ago.
126 fans.
Richard, this is really a great article. I can't find a thing to argue with you about and yu've covered it extremely well. I would surely sent it to my legislators, except they already agree with you and they can't even find an ear that will listen to them.
 
Thanks a million for writing this, I wish I had written it.
» left by Richard Vail 2 years 166 days ago.
60 fans.
But then, you live in a "red state" then. Unfortunately, I live in Maryland, just outside of Baltimore...and my congressman is a party hack, who is the son of a party hack who votes straight Democratic line, whatever his "leadership" tells him to do. he's just wasting time until he can run for the Senate, in Cardin's seat (the one his father sat in for way too long) perhaps in 4-6 years or so.
» left by Connor Davidson
2 years 166 days ago.
94 fans. Follow Connor Davidson on twitter!
Great article. Well done.
 
You make some very interesting points in the article. We are, hopefuly, over the worst but I hope that when we get out of this a few lessons will be learned.
» left by Richard Vail 2 years 166 days ago.
60 fans.
Unfortunately, I don't think we are over the worst...Congress is already making noises for a "2nd Stimulus". that means more hundreds of billions not spent effectively. Our political masters just don't have a grasp of either how business or economics works. So that means they's blow yet another untold huge sum...that will have the net effect of further depressing the economy, just as the last one did.
 
So, to be honest, I expect unemployment to peak next August/September at about 14%...
 
On the other hand, I don't think that cap and trade is going to pass, that would have put the finishing touches on the economy that just can't stand much more abuse from Congress. All of the small business owners I know are not planning to make any new hires for at least a year, maybe longer. Mostly they are waiting to see how the after effects of the federal government's seizure of health care this year on the them directly.
 
So...I'm still a bit gloomy on things right now. I really hope that I'm wrong, but as a optimistic pessimist...I look for the worst and hope for the best.
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