Perhaps Global Warming Isn't As Dire As We Think
Posted: Thursday, December 10, 2009
by Richard Vail
Chisel & Plane
It is possible that the threat of global warming isn't nearly as dire as certain people would have us believe. By stepping back and taking a hard look at the only lasting record of world wide tempuratures we have using ice cores from Antarctica as well as from Greenland, we can develop a picture of what historic temperatures are really like.
If you take a much longer view of the "global warming" picture, than just the past thousand years you'll get a vastly different picture. Looking at ice cores from the interiors of both Greenland and the Antarctic you can develop a far more accurate picture of what first the Medieval Warming Period was like. Here's an ice core temperature graph that goes back to the late Medieval period and shows that presently there is is indeed a disturbing warming trend:
But if you go back to a point of twelve hundred years, that upward trend isn't so threatening. This is the point at which the Vikings began to settle Greenland...um that could be because it was GREEN? Lots of room to farm, nice place to live? Also, starting around a thousand years or so ago, people in England were growing wine grapes, that's something that's not possible now (it's too cold) because the "climate changed" during the Little Ice Age.
On the other hand, if you go back further, say four thousand years, then the trend is in fact...not much of a problem. In fact historically, at the very stirrings of civilization some five or so thousand years ago, it was much warmer than it is now. Agriculture flourishes in warmer climate...than it does in colder times. Hence the serious reduction in population during the Dark Ages (that preceded the MWP) as well as the Little Ice Age.
But...take the picture back another eight thousand years, to roughly twelve thousand years before present era to look at the Holocene era in it's entirety, you realize that we are still in the Little Ice Age...and perhaps are only just now beginning to emerge from a 500 (or so) year period of global cooling.
But by looking at an ice core from Vostock, Antarctica which goes back...several hundred thousand year, it appears that periods of extensive glaciation are much more normal than the 10-12,000 year periods of warming...
Indeed, the Antarctic ice cores show that the periods of inter glaciation are in fact the anomaly in global climate and that we have had a longer than normal period outside of ice age temperatures. Perhaps the climatologist were actually right in the 1970's when they were predicting that we are actually entering a period of "pre-ice age"...and the temperatures may in fact be trending downwards...for the next 90,000 years? Something to think about, especially as our political masters seem hell-bent on economic suicide in Copenhagen.
But if you go back to a point of twelve hundred years, that upward trend isn't so threatening. This is the point at which the Vikings began to settle Greenland...um that could be because it was GREEN? Lots of room to farm, nice place to live? Also, starting around a thousand years or so ago, people in England were growing wine grapes, that's something that's not possible now (it's too cold) because the "climate changed" during the Little Ice Age.
On the other hand, if you go back further, say four thousand years, then the trend is in fact...not much of a problem. In fact historically, at the very stirrings of civilization some five or so thousand years ago, it was much warmer than it is now. Agriculture flourishes in warmer climate...than it does in colder times. Hence the serious reduction in population during the Dark Ages (that preceded the MWP) as well as the Little Ice Age.
But...take the picture back another eight thousand years, to roughly twelve thousand years before present era to look at the Holocene era in it's entirety, you realize that we are still in the Little Ice Age...and perhaps are only just now beginning to emerge from a 500 (or so) year period of global cooling.
But by looking at an ice core from Vostock, Antarctica which goes back...several hundred thousand year, it appears that periods of extensive glaciation are much more normal than the 10-12,000 year periods of warming...
Indeed, the Antarctic ice cores show that the periods of inter glaciation are in fact the anomaly in global climate and that we have had a longer than normal period outside of ice age temperatures. Perhaps the climatologist were actually right in the 1970's when they were predicting that we are actually entering a period of "pre-ice age"...and the temperatures may in fact be trending downwards...for the next 90,000 years? Something to think about, especially as our political masters seem hell-bent on economic suicide in Copenhagen.
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More commentsWell said. I wrote an article on this some time ago mostly amazed by the hard-liners who believe global warming is an obvious road to disaster and the end of mankind. Personally, I think mankind will end his existence with weapons of mass destruction before being toasted via alleged man-influenced global warming. And if you listen to the well spoken and aggressive Lord Christopher Monckton and authors of PIG publications (Politically Incorrect Guide), there is a loud yet unpopular voice out there running counter to the politically incorrect crowd--incorrect here being, as you've shown above, not correct. Peace!
Jeff, thanks for reading the article and for your comments. I appreciate your feedback. Rich
An interesting article, especially to me the eternal sceptic when it comes to the what our politicians would have us believe. Of course they only ever talk about the side of the argument they wish to promote.I want to know much more about this topic, but where can I be sure to find an unbiased view?that would be difficult...as this has abandoned science (see ClimateGate), but you can find sites that are written by those who are skeptical of the "settled" science (i.e. those whose findings have been the opposite of the "warmists") wattsupwiththat is one such site. There are others, just do a google search. You can hit my website thevailspot dot blogspot dot com, and hit the links that I provide in my articles.Andrew Bolt, an Australian writing a blog in the Herald Sun is about as neutral as you'll find...though even he leands to the skeptic side.
thank you Richard, hey have a good Christmas, may it be a white one if that's your desire.and you as well!or to hit them all in here...Happy KristiKwanzikhah!Rich
yea. perhaps its all just the eb and flow of our environment.. we, of course, create the environment, but the dinosaurs created theirs..and look where that got them. If we're not ready to be annihilated eventually, we're not thinking very historically.LOL, thanks for commenting!Rich
Excellent article Richard, thanks for sharing with us. I've been trying to convince people of this for the pst several years.There is a lot of information out there...thanks to the internet, the mainstream media has been banging the drum for the "warmists" for 15 years...or rather since the end of the cold war (is there a correlation there?) and is a part of why they as a business are failing.Thanks for coming by.Rich
Nicely done, Richard.Thanks, hit my website, thevailspot dot blogspot dot com for further information.
Interesting article.Thank you.
I still believe that we still have to take care of our environment for our own good.I agree, that's not the point. The point is that "global warming" is an invented "crisis" that is being manipulated by people to a) make a LOT of money; and b) by governments in order to raise taxes and gain further control of their economies.I agree whole-heartedly, those who wantonly pollute must be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law. It is in our best interest to be good stewards of our planet, but "climate change" is mother nature's baliwick and there is not a heck of a lot we CAN do to alter it one way or the other.The largest problem with the computer models presently being used, is they can't predict the future and can only (barely) accurately match the historical record. So, destroying our economy in order to prevent a "supposed" catastrophy is insane and down right stupid.Thanks for coming by and commenting.
Richard, the hacked emails are not the only ones showing fraudulent and exaggerated information. The very scientist from whom Al Gore took his dooms day stance has come out saying that Mr. Gore misrepresented the information he furnished to him. A good article is in today's "timesonline(dot)co(dot)uk" titled "Al Gore’s melting Arctic claim unites scientist and sceptic alike" makes Gore look as bad as he should.Yeah, I've read that one...but I was honestly trying to limit the amount of information...if you go to my blog...you'll see that I didn't use half the source graphs...trying to consciously limit the size of the article. And you're right...the scientific fraud that is being perpetrated is almost mind boggling!.thanks for stopping by and commenting.Rich
Interesting look at the long view of history. Certainly raises some questions about what so many people are panicing about.Yes, it does...but you know...IT MUST BE A CATASTROPHY JUST WAITING TO HAPPEN!!! but not really. If all the ice caps were to melt...the seas would rise about 20 centimeters, less than 10 inches, not the several meters that Al Gore cries about. Plus, what is called a imminent threat, actually means that far more land would become arable and thus world-wide cultivation of food would increase. The Medieval warming period was only the second such greatly warming period in the historical period. Like the first, in ancient times, they facilitated a huge rise in population because of the vast increase in cultivation...during the Littlle Ice Age of the 1500-1850 was merely a "brake" on pupulation growth, but did nothing to stop either exploration or economic advances...but during which technology advanced at a rate not seen before, until now. So the catastrophy what is being shrieked about now, isn't nearly what it's beinng played up to be...that's what is so troubling to me.I've come to the conclusion that "global warming" isn't about "saving the planet" at all, but is merely a means to seize control of not just governmental apparatus, but a means to destroy economic advances of the past century and a half.
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